Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
55.49% (![]() | 20.9% (![]() | 23.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.46% (![]() | 33.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.66% (![]() | 55.34% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.81% (![]() | 12.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.16% (![]() | 37.84% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% (![]() | 26.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% (![]() | 62.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 9.52% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.49% | 1-1 @ 9.05% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.96% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |