Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
55.49% ( 0.06) | 20.9% ( -0.13) | 23.61% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 64.3% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.46% ( 0.68) | 33.54% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.66% ( 0.77) | 55.34% ( -0.77) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.81% ( 0.24) | 12.19% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.16% ( 0.51) | 37.84% ( -0.51) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( 0.42) | 26.77% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( 0.56) | 62.04% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.49% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |