Algeria

2 - 1

Niger

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Niger had a probability of 2.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.33%) and 4-0 (11.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.94%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.