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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Burundi national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Burkina Faso national football team

Burundi
0 - 2
Burkina Faso


Ntibazonkiza (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Konate (5'), Traore (90+4' pen.)
Kabore (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burundi and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Burundi
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Burkina Faso

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 4-1 Burundi
Thursday, October 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Burundi 1-3 Burkina Faso

 While Burundi gave Burkina Faso a major scare with that early goal last week, the Stallions were by far the better side once they got into their stride, and we are expecting them to secure another comfortable victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 16.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.16%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
BurundiDrawBurkina Faso
16.55% (0.295 0.3) 23.4% (0.109 0.11) 60.04% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 44.52% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (0.055 0.05)54.16% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (0.045999999999999 0.05)75.57% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (0.42299999999999 0.42)45.87% (-0.422 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.38% (0.328 0.33)81.62% (-0.325 -0.33)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (-0.122 -0.12)17.74% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (-0.213 -0.21)48.42% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Burundi 16.55%
    Burkina Faso 60.03%
    Draw 23.4%
BurundiDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 4.27% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.47% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.11% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 16.55%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.4%
0-1 @ 14.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 12.16% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.02% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.47% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.03% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 60.03%

How you voted: Burundi vs Burkina Faso

Burundi
20.8%
Draw
4.2%
Burkina Faso
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Burkina Faso
4-1
Burundi
Ouattara (33', 44'), Banse (34'), Dayo (49')
Farid Ouedraogo (85'), Toure (86')
Kanakimana (4')
Ndizeye (31'), Bukuru (39'), Michel Musore (73'), Shabani (90+4')
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