MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 23:20:47| >> :600:292429:292429:
Kenya national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Burundi national football team

Kenya
1 - 1
Burundi

Abuya (72')
Ouma (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Abdallah (85')
Ntibazonkiza (58'), Elie Eldhino (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Kenya and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 3-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Botswana
Monday, March 25 at 10am in International Friendlies

We said: Kenya 2-1 Burundi

Kenya seem to have attained new heights in their last couple of matches, scoring 12 goals in the last three while conceding just once. However, the reverse is the case for Burundi, who have struggled since their opening day victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Burundi win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
KenyaDrawBurundi
47.46% (0.256 0.26) 25.38% (-0.084 -0.08) 27.16% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.237 0.24)50.69% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.209 0.21)72.59% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.212 0.21)21.37% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.65% (0.323 0.32)54.34% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)
Burundi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)33.19% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.79% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kenya 47.46%
    Burundi 27.16%
    Draw 25.38%
KenyaDrawBurundi
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.79% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.46%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 27.16%

How you voted: Kenya vs Burundi

Kenya
89.6%
Draw
6.3%
Burundi
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 1am
Friendlies 1
Kenya
P-P
Burundi
Mar 25, 2023 12am
Friendlies 1
Kenya
0-0
Burundi
Sep 26, 2022 11pm
Sep 18, 2022 11pm
rhs 2.0
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