World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berkane

Seychelles
1 - 3
Burundi

Hoareau (78')
Mellie (45'), Raheriniaina (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abdallah (34'), Kanakimana (62', 69')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Seychelles and Burundi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Seychelles

Last Game: Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Burundi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Kenya 1-1 Burundi
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

We said: Seychelles 0-2 Burundi

Burundi will be licking their lips as they take on a Burundi side who have been one of the whipping boys in the continent. Les Hirondelles have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we fancy them to extend their winning streak against Seychelles on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burundi win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burundi win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.69%) and 0-3 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Seychelles win it was 1-0 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burundi would win this match.

Result
Seychelles	Draw	Burundi
10.52% ( 0.17)	17.67% ( 0.17)	71.81% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 45.74% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.5% (

-0.29)

43.5% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.11% (

-0.28)

65.89% (

0.29)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.25% (

0.13)

48.75% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.22% (

0.09)

83.77% (

-0.09)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.24% (

-0.16)

10.76% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.25% (

-0.37)

34.75% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Seychelles 10.52%

Burundi 71.8%

Draw 17.68%

Seychelles	Draw	Burundi
1-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 10.52%	1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.68%	0-2 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 9.69% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 5.4% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.76% Total : 71.8%