Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 1pm UK
Congo DR3 - 1Mauritania
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Congo DR and Mauritania.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Senegal 3-0 Congo DR
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 14.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.86%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.26%), while for a Mauritania win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Mauritania |
57.03% ( -0.16) | 28.33% ( 0.16) | 14.63% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 30.52% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
