International Friendly

Sep 23, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte

Congo DR
0 - 1
Burkina Faso

Bastien (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Traore (59')
Tapsoba (26')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Congo DR and Burkina Faso.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

Last Six:

Last Game: Sudan 2-1 Congo DR
Wednesday, June 8 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Congo DR vs. Sierra Leone
Tuesday, September 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Burkina Faso

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Eswatini 1-3 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, June 7 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Burkina Faso vs. Comoros
Tuesday, September 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cameroon	3	4	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	0	4
3	Cape Verde	3	0	4
4	Ethiopia	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Burkina Faso
43.22% ( -0.06)	27.25% ( 0.02)	29.53% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.44% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.3% (

-0.07)

56.7% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.34% (

-0.06)

77.66% (

0.06)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

-0.06)

26% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97% (

-0.09)

61.02% (

0.09)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

-0.01)

34.53% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

-0.01)

71.25% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 43.22%

Burkina Faso 29.53%

Draw 27.25%

Congo DR	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.22%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.53%