Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Mauritania and Mali.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Congo DR vs. Mauritania
Sunday, March 19 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, March 19 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mali vs. Gambia
Sunday, March 19 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, March 19 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Mali |
30.83% ( 0.06) | 27.74% ( -0.04) | 41.43% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
