International Friendly

Aug 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya

Mauritania
1 - 1
Mali

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Mauritania and Mali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

Last Six:

Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Congo DR vs. Mauritania
Sunday, March 19 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Mali

Last Six:

Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Monday, August 15 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Mali vs. Gambia
Sunday, March 19 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Mauritania	Draw	Mali
30.83% ( 0.06)	27.74% ( -0.04)	41.43% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.93% (

0.16)

58.07% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.26% (

0.12)

78.74% (

-0.12)

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.71% (

0.13)

34.29% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.01% (

0.14)

70.99% (

-0.14)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.41% (

0.06)

27.59% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88% (

0.08)

63.12% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Mauritania 30.82%

Mali 41.43%

Draw 27.73%

Mauritania	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.82%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.73%	0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.43%