International Friendly

Sep 27, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecôte

Congo DR
3 - 0
Sierra Leone

Malango (70'), Kayembe (73'), Meschack (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Congo DR and Sierra Leone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Congo DR 0-1 Burkina Faso
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Sierra Leone

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: South Africa 4-0 Sierra Leone
Saturday, September 24 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sierra Leone had a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Sierra Leone win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Sierra Leone
45.49% ( 0.04)	29.25% ( 0.01)	25.27% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 40.64% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.76% (

-0.07)

65.24% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.94% (

-0.05)

84.05% (

0.05)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15% (

-0.01)

28.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.28% (

-0.02)

64.71% (

0.02)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.13% (

-0.09)

42.87% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.82% (

-0.08)

79.18% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Congo DR 45.48%

Sierra Leone 25.26%

Draw 29.25%

Congo DR	Draw	Sierra Leone
1-0 @ 15.37% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 45.48%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.25%	0-1 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.06% Total : 25.26%