MX23RW : Tuesday, February 4 00:45:18| >> :60:568:568:
Mauritania national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Olympique de Nouakchott
Mali national football team

Mauritania
1 - 0
Mali

Sy (53')
Beibou (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kone (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's African Nations Championship clash between Mauritania and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Mauritania
Friday, January 20 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Mali 3-3 Angola
Monday, January 16 at 4pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Mauritania 1-1 Mali

Both teams are on a solid run of form heading into this one, and we expect a keenly-contested affair with the sides cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 37.46%. A draw had a probability of 32.9% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 29.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.8%) and 1-2 (6.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.74%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (13.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.

Result
MauritaniaDrawMali
29.62% (-0.735 -0.74) 32.91% (0.196 0.2) 37.46% (0.541 0.54)
Both teams to score 34.68% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
26.58% (-0.556 -0.56)73.42% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
10.65% (-0.334 -0.33)89.34% (0.33500000000001 0.34)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.03% (-0.948 -0.95)43.96% (0.949 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9% (-0.79 -0.79)80.09% (0.792 0.79)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9% (0.038000000000004 0.04)38.1% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (0.036999999999999 0.04)74.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 29.62%
    Mali 37.46%
    Draw 32.9%
MauritaniaDrawMali
1-0 @ 13.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 29.62%
0-0 @ 16.74% (0.34 0.34)
1-1 @ 13.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.63% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 32.9%
0-1 @ 16.16% (0.35 0.35)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.176 0.18)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.46%

How you voted: Mauritania vs Mali

Mauritania
28.0%
Draw
20.0%
Mali
52.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 8pm
International Friendly
Mauritania
1-1
Mali
Aug 15, 2022 8pm
International Friendly
Mauritania
1-0
Mali
Jan 20, 2022 7pm
Group F
Mali
2-0
Mauritania
Haidara (2'), Kone (49' pen.)
Bissouma (60')

Abeid (48'), Thiam (78')
Jun 24, 2019 9pm
Group E
Mali
4-1
Mauritania
Diaby (37'), Marega (45' pen.), Traore (55', 74')
Djenepo (31'), Fofana (71')
El Hacen (72' pen.)
N'Diaye (19'), Souleymane (79'), Diaw (84')
rhs 2.0
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