We said: Equatorial Guinea 1-1 Algeria
Equatorial Guinea will go into this clash with more zeal and energy, given that they have something at stake compared to Algeria, who have already achieved their aim – however, we believe that the visitors will try to avoid a loss, which is why we are predicting a draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.