Given that a place in the next round is at stake here, we anticipate a fiery contest with both sides taking the game to each other in search of all three points. However, looking at the clear gulf in quality between the two sides, we anticipate Egypt will come out with the win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.24%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Egypt in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Egypt.
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