Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 13, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo, Yaounde

Cameroon
4 - 1
Ethiopia

Toko Ekambi (8', 67'), Aboubakar (53', 55')
Hongla (7'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (7'), Onana (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hotessa (4')
Dagnachew (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cameroon and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Cameroon 2-0 Ethiopia

Buoyed by their opening-day win, Cameroon will approach Wednesday's game with the wind in their sails, and we are backing them to emerge victorious and secure a place in the knockout stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 63.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.71%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.66%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
Cameroon	Draw	Ethiopia
63.86%	23.61%	12.52%

Both teams to score 35.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.75%

61.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.82%

81.18%

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01%

18.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.46%

50.54%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.84%

56.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.43%

88.57%

Score Analysis

Cameroon 63.85%

Ethiopia 12.53%

Draw 23.61%

Cameroon	Draw	Ethiopia
1-0 @ 17.71% 2-0 @ 14.71% 2-1 @ 8.49% 3-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4.7% 4-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 1.95% 3-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.27% Total : 63.85%	0-0 @ 10.66% 1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 2.45% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.61%	0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 2.95% 0-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 1.65% Total : 12.53%