MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 03:45:25| >> :600:8291528:8291528:
Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade de Franceville
Morocco national football team

Gabon
1 - 5
Morocco

Bouanga (4')
Allevinah (7'), Bouanga (35'), Kanga (49'), Aubameyang (82')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Harkass (17'), Diaz (20', 23'), En-Nesyri (81'), Saibari (90')
Ben Seghir (59'), Saibari (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gabon and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Lesotho 0-2 Gabon
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: CAR 0-4 Morocco
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gabon 1-2 Morocco

 While Morocco will be playing for pride, the stakes are high for Gabon, who sit just four points above third-placed Central African Republic heading into the final two qualifying games. Mouyouma's men are much improved since losing against Morocco in September's reverse fixture, but given the gulf in quality and class between the two nations, we fancy the Atlas Lions to claim all three points and maintain their perfect record in the qualifiers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Gabon win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
GabonDrawMorocco
29.5% (-0.267 -0.27) 28.73% (-0.233 -0.23) 41.76% (0.495 0.49)
Both teams to score 44.32% (0.498 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.11% (0.67299999999999 0.67)61.89% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.34% (0.494 0.49)81.65% (-0.498 -0.5)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.64% (0.161 0.16)37.36% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.85% (0.157 0.16)74.14% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.61 0.61)29.24% (-0.615 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.8% (0.747 0.75)65.19% (-0.75099999999999 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Gabon 29.49%
    Morocco 41.76%
    Draw 28.73%
GabonDrawMorocco
1-0 @ 10.75% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 6.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.3% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.31% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.49%
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.92% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.73%
0-1 @ 13.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.109 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 41.76%

How you voted: Gabon vs Morocco

Gabon
16.7%
Draw
18.5%
Morocco
64.8%
54
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Morocco
4-1
Gabon
Ziyech (10' pen., 26' pen.), Diaz (59'), El Kaabi (82')
Abqar (15')
Aubameyang (40' pen.)
> Preview
Jan 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Gabon
2-2
Morocco
Allevinah (21'), Aguerd (81' og.)
Obiang (36'), Boupendza (45+1')
Boufal (74' pen.), Hakimi (84')
Amrabat (38')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2019 8pm
International Friendlies
Morocco
2-3
Gabon
Amrabat (32', 69' pen.)
Boupendza (22'), Bouanga (48'), Chebake (81' og.)
Bouanga (44'), Aubameyang (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!