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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea-Bissau national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

Guinea-Bissau
5 - 1
Sao Tome

Semedo (40'), Gano (50', 58'), Banjaqui (80'), Jorginho (87')
Encada (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Domingos Lima Viegas (21')
Soares Goncalves Ceita (82'), Cruz Dos Santos (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea-Bissau and Sao Tome & Principe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea-Bissau

Last Six:
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 5-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Sierra Leone vs. Guinea-Bissau
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 5-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Guinea-Bissau 1-0 Sao Tome & Principe

 We expect a tight and cagey affair in this one, with neither team giving too much away due to the fear of defeat. Nonetheless, we are also tipping the home side to scrape to a narrow win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 67.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 11.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.1%) and 3-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea-Bissau would win this match.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawSao Tome & Principe
67.57% (-3.173 -3.17) 21.42% (2.227 2.23) 11.02% (0.953 0.95)
Both teams to score 36.69% (-2.788 -2.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02% (-5.866 -5.87)56.99% (5.873 5.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12% (-4.914 -4.91)77.88% (4.919 4.92)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.87% (-2.89 -2.89)16.14% (2.897 2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.43% (-5.556 -5.56)45.57% (5.564 5.56)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.75% (-1.754 -1.75)56.25% (1.76 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.39% (-1.037 -1.04)88.62% (1.043 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 67.56%
    Sao Tome & Principe 11.02%
    Draw 21.42%
Guinea-BissauDrawSao Tome & Principe
1-0 @ 16.55% (1.97 1.97)
2-0 @ 15.1% (0.36 0.36)
3-0 @ 9.18% (-0.758 -0.76)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.752 -0.75)
4-0 @ 4.19% (-0.837 -0.84)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.641 -0.64)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.505 -0.51)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 67.56%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.67 0.67)
0-0 @ 9.08% (1.863 1.86)
2-2 @ 2.5% (-0.218 -0.22)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.22% (0.843 0.84)
1-2 @ 2.74% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 11.02%

How you voted: Guinea-Bissau vs Mauritius

Guinea-Bissau
62.5%
Draw
18.8%
Mauritius
18.8%
16
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Guinea-Bissau
rhs 2.0
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