Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 13, 2022 at 5pm UK

National Stadium

Sierra Leone
2 - 2
Guinea-Bissau

Kargbo (77'), Kamara (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jorginho (47', 52')
Gomes (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sierra Leone and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

Last Six:

Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Guinea-Bissau

Last Six:

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 5-1 Sao Tome
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

We said: Sierra Leone 1-1 Guinea-Bissau

Guinea-Bissau come into the game off the back of a resounding triumph last time out, but Sierra Leone will also be fired up as they look to respond to Thursday's loss. We are backing a share of the spoils with the teams having to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Sierra Leone	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
44.05% ( -0.04)	25.54% ( 0.01)	30.41% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.4% (

-0.03)

49.6% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

-0.03)

71.63% (

0.03)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.54% (

-0.03)

22.46% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44% (

-0.05)

56% (

0.05)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.78% (

0.01)

30.22% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.62% (

0.01)

66.38% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sierra Leone 44.05%

Guinea-Bissau 30.41%

Draw 25.54%

Sierra Leone	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.05%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.41%