Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
National Complex
Liberia1 - 2South Africa
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Liberia and South Africa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Africa 2-2 Liberia
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Friday, March 24 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | South Africa | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Namibia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 0-1 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.7%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Liberia win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Africa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liberia | Draw | South Africa |
12.19% ( -0.31) | 22.74% ( -0.39) | 65.07% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 36.66% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
