MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 11:50:16| >> :600:10221419:10221419:
Sao Tome and Principe national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 22, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
South Sudan national football team

Sao Tome
1 - 1
South Sudan

FT(HT: 0-0)
Dhata (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sao Tome & Principe and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Tome 0-2 Namibia
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Sao Tome & Principe 0-1 South Sudan

Sao Tome & Principe are coming into this match off the back of five consecutive defeats, during which time they failed to score a single goal while conceding 15. South Sudan have made it to the group-stage qualifiers in their last five attempts and are in decent form, having only lost once in their last three matches in all competitions. We feel the Bright Stars will win this match, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawSouth Sudan
31.83% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 26.33% (0.079999999999998 0.08) 41.83% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (-0.312 -0.31)52.36% (0.311 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (-0.268 -0.27)74.05% (0.267 0.27)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.123 -0.12)30.63% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.144 -0.14)66.88% (0.143 0.14)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-0.206 -0.21)24.75% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.287 -0.29)59.31% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Sao Tome & Principe 31.83%
    South Sudan 41.83%
    Draw 26.33%
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawSouth Sudan
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.83%

How you voted: Sao Tome vs South Sudan

Sao Tome & Principe
21.4%
Draw
21.4%
South Sudan
57.1%
14
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Manchester CityMan City30156957401751
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
6Chelsea29147853371649
7Aston Villa3013984445-148
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton30121174845347
9Fulham3012994440445
10Bournemouth301281049381144
11Brentford30125135147441
12Crystal Palace29101093734340
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton30713103237-534
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich3048183063-3320
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3024242271-4910


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