Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 22, 2023 at 4pm UK
Sierra Leone2 - 2Sao Tome
FT(HT: 0-1)
Leal dos Anjos (43', 59')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Sierra Leone and Sao Tome & Principe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Congo DR 3-0 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, September 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Sao Tome 0-10 Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 79.61%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.99%) and 1-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sierra Leone | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
79.61% ( -0.29) | 13.89% ( 0.33) | 6.5% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 40.65% ( -1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.1% ( -1.87) | 39.9% ( 1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.74% ( -1.96) | 62.26% ( 1.96) |
Sierra Leone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.01% ( -0.48) | 7.99% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.82% ( -1.23) | 28.18% ( 1.23) |
Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.18% ( -1.43) | 55.81% ( 1.42) |