Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2023 at 4pm UK

Sierra Leone
2 - 2
Sao Tome

Bundu (48'), Komeh (78')
Samura (4'), Kamara (45+4'), Williams (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Leal dos Anjos (43', 59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Sierra Leone and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sierra Leone

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Congo DR 3-0 Sierra Leone
Tuesday, September 27 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Sao Tome 0-10 Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 79.61%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.99%) and 1-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Sierra Leone	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
79.61% ( -0.29)	13.89% ( 0.33)	6.5% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 40.65% (

-1.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.1% (

-1.87)

39.9% (

1.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.74% (

-1.96)

62.26% (

1.96)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.01% (

-0.48)

7.99% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.82% (

-1.23)

28.18% (

1.23)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.18% (

-1.43)

55.81% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.63% (

-0.85)

88.36% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Sierra Leone 79.6%

Sao Tome & Principe 6.5%

Draw 13.89%

Sierra Leone	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 14.23% ( 0.55) 3-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.15) 6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.88% Total : 79.6%	1-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.44% Total : 13.89%	0-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 6.5%