Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2023 at 5pm UK

Sao Tome
0 - 2
Sierra Leone

Pogba (35'), Santos (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Samura (7'), Koroma (28')
Koroma (21'), Gandi Williams (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Sao Tome & Principe and Sierra Leone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-2 Sao Tome
Wednesday, March 22 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Sierra Leone

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-2 Sao Tome
Wednesday, March 22 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.75%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sierra Leone would win this match.

Result
Sao Tome & Principe	Draw	Sierra Leone
13.5% ( -2.6)	20.7% ( -2.22)	65.8% ( 4.81)

Both teams to score 45.38% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.89% (

3.92)

49.11% (

-3.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

3.44)

71.18% (

-3.44)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.84% (

-1.36)

47.16% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.39% (

-1.04)

82.61% (

1.04)

Sierra Leone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.89% (

2.89)

14.1% (

-2.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.27% (

5.39)

41.73% (

-5.39)

Score Analysis

Sao Tome & Principe 13.5%

Sierra Leone 65.79%

Draw 20.7%

Sao Tome & Principe	Draw	Sierra Leone
1-0 @ 5% ( -1.08) 2-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.11% Total : 13.5%	1-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.98) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -1.14) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.7%	0-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.77) 0-2 @ 12.75% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 8.33% ( 1.11) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( 0.62) 0-4 @ 4.08% ( 0.88) 1-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.57) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.15) 0-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.46) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.32) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.39% Total : 65.79%