World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Olympique de Rades
Tunisia4 - 0Sao Tome
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Japan 2-0 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.10am in International Friendlies
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.10am in International Friendlies
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tunisia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Mali | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | South Africa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Namibia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Nigeria 6-0 Sao Tome
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Tunisia 3-1 Sao Tome & Principe
Tunisia have endured a tough run of results of late but are still huge favourites to come out on top here. We fully expect the hosts to get the job done in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 93.63%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 1.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.56%) and 2-0 (12.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.34%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (0.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
Result | ||
Tunisia | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
93.63% ( 1.26) | 5.03% ( -0.88) | 1.33% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 28.62% ( -2.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.1% ( 1.87) | 23.89% ( -1.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.54% ( 2.46) | 43.45% ( -2.46) |
Tunisia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.39% ( 0.44) | 2.61% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.88% ( 1.57) | 12.12% ( -1.57) |
Sao Tome & Principe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
29.38% ( -2.25) | 70.61% ( 2.25) |