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South Sudan national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

South Sudan
0 - 0
Sao Tome

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Preliminary Round clash between South Sudan and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Tome 1-1 South Sudan
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sao Tome 1-1 South Sudan
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
South SudanDrawSao Tome & Principe
66.15% (-1.404 -1.4) 19.61% (0.708 0.71) 14.24% (0.69 0.69)
Both teams to score 50.8% (-0.526 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (-1.663 -1.66)42.89% (1.659 1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (-1.667 -1.67)65.3% (1.664 1.66)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (-0.861 -0.86)12.1% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.34% (-1.847 -1.85)37.66% (1.843 1.84)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)42.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.39% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)78.61% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    South Sudan 66.13%
    Sao Tome & Principe 14.24%
    Draw 19.61%
South SudanDrawSao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 11.38% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 10.78% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 8.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 4.23% (-0.274 -0.27)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.182 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.159 -0.16)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 66.13%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.358 0.36)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.366 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 19.61%
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.312 0.31)
1-2 @ 4.01% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 1.9% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 14.24%

Head to Head
Mar 22, 2024 7pm
Preliminary Round 1st Leg
Sao Tome
1-1
South Sudan
Dhata (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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2Chelsea18105338211735
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1810442419534
4Arsenal1796234161833
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
7Manchester CityMan City188463026428
8Fulham187742623328
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
12Brentford177283232023
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1813141137-266


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