We said: Tanzania 1-2 Niger
Having picked up just two points from their four matches, defeat for Niger will see them eliminated from the qualifiers. With that in mind, we expect the Mena to come out guns blazing and edge out Tanzania who have failed to win five of their last six home games.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 67.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Niger had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.56%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.85%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tanzania in this match.