Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Levy Mwanawasa Stadium

Zambia
3 - 0
Ivory Coast

Aurier (31' og.), Daka (48'), Kangwa (55')
Kabwe (60'), Sakala (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zambia and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Kuwait 3-0 Zambia
Monday, June 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Zambia	3	4	7
2	Namibia	3	2	7
3	Uganda	3	-3	1
4	Ivory Coast	3	-3	1

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Comoros 0-2 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

We said: Zambia 1-1 Ivory Coast

After a poor start to the campaign, Zambia have turned their fortune around in style and are now on the cusp of a return to the continental tournament. Ivory Coast head into the weekend with a star-studded squad, but we predict that the Chipolopolo will hold out for a draw in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Zambia	Draw	Ivory Coast
31.83% ( 1.74)	29.18% ( 0.03)	38.98% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 43.92% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.23% (

0.31)

62.77% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.7% (

0.22)

82.3% (

-0.22)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93% (

1.48)

36.07% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15% (

1.48)

72.85% (

-1.48)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7% (

-0.89)

31.3% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.34% (

-1.05)

67.66% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Zambia 31.83%

Ivory Coast 38.98%

Draw 29.17%

Zambia	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.83%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.17%	0-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.48) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 38.98%