Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
Zambia3 - 1Lesotho
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Zambia and Lesotho.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Israel 4-2 Zambia
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Last Game: Malawi 1-1 Lesotho
Saturday, February 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, February 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 60.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zambia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Lesotho |
60.73% ( 0.4) | 22.16% ( -0.17) | 17.11% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
