Eswatini

0 - 2

Cape Verde

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cape Verde would win this match.