We said: Cape Verde 1-0 Angola
After a difficult three months, Cape Verde and Angola will head into Thursday looking to pick up a morale-boosting result and kick off their qualifying campaign on the right note. Bubista's men have home advantage in their favour, and given that they are unbeaten in four straight competitive home games since January 2022, we fancy them coming out on top in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.