Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 24, 2024 at 5pm UK

Laurent Pokou Stadium

Namibia
0 - 0
Mali

Hotto (45+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Namibia and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Namibia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: South Africa 4-0 Namibia
Sunday, January 21 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	2	2	4
2	South Africa	2	2	3
3	Namibia	2	-3	3
4	Tunisia	2	-1	1

Mali

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Tunisia 1-1 Mali
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	2	2	4
2	South Africa	2	2	3
3	Namibia	2	-3	3
4	Tunisia	2	-1	1

Mali have been one of the surprise packages in this competition and look destined for the last 16 after two very positive performances to date. Namibia were humbled last time out but showed enough, even in defeat, to suggest that they are not out of this competition just yet. We feel this could be a nail-biter and fancy that there will be nothing to split these sides at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Namibia had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.51%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.89%), while for a Namibia win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Namibia	Draw	Mali
17.46% ( -0.33)	29.16% ( 0.16)	53.38% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 33.09% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.74% (

-0.64)

70.27% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.6% (

-0.41)

87.4% (

0.41)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.55% (

-0.82)

54.45% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.45% (

-0.51)

87.55% (

0.51)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

-0.23)

27.36% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

-0.3)

62.82% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Namibia 17.46%

Mali 53.38%

Draw 29.14%

Namibia	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.46%	0-0 @ 14.89% ( 0.35) 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.21% Total : 29.14%	0-1 @ 19.31% ( 0.34) 0-2 @ 12.51% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.44% Total : 53.38%