Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Olympique de Rades
Tunisia1 - 1Mali
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Namibia
Tuesday, January 16 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Tuesday, January 16 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Namibia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | South Africa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Namibia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | South Africa | 1 | -2 | 0 |
We said: Tunisia 1-1 Mali
Mali seemed more coherent in their opening fixture against South Africa, and that should put them in a place of comfort before facing an under-pressure Tunisia side, who looked ropey in their defeat to Namibia. Both sides could accept a point in Korhogo, with the teams possibly cancelling each other out on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Mali had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mali win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Mali |
| 53.34% | 27.03% ( -0.02) | 19.62% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.25% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.36% ( 0.05) | 62.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.79% ( 0.04) | 82.2% ( -0.04) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( 0.02) | 23.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42% ( 0.03) | 57.99% ( -0.04) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.84% ( 0.05) | 47.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.39% ( 0.04) | 82.6% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Tunisia 53.33%
Mali 19.62%
Draw 27.02%
| Tunisia | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 16.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 53.33% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.62% |
How you voted: Tunisia vs Mali
Tunisia
23.8%Draw
28.6%Mali
47.6%21
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2022 8.30pm
Jan 12, 2022 1pm
Group Stage
Tunisia
0-1
Mali
Jun 15, 2021 8.30pm
Friendlies 1
Tunisia
1-0
Mali
Bilal Toure (22'), Kouyate (32'), Coulibaly (45+3'), Bagayoko (73')
Bilal Toure (32'), Kouyate (90+3')
Jun 28, 2019 3.30pm
Group Stage
Tunisia
1-1
Mali
