We said: Senegal 1-0 Cameroon
Based on the first round of matches in this year's AFCON, Senegal looks like one of the sides to beat. The Lions of Teranga have been especially good in defence in recent months, and we fancy they will be able to shut out a Cameroon side that were far from impressive in their opening match of the competition.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.