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Senegal national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 16, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
Cameroon national football team

Senegal
1 - 0
Cameroon

Mane (35' pen.)
Diallo (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mbeumo (25'), Gonzalez (33'), Aboubakar (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's friendly clash between Senegal and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Senegal 0-1 Algeria
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Russia 1-0 Cameroon
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Senegal 2-1 Cameroon

There is little to choose between the sides heading into Monday's clash which could easily swing either way. However, we are backing Senegal to emerge triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 25.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
SenegalDrawCameroon
45.51% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 28.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.46% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.83% (0.021000000000001 0.02)63.17% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.41% (0.015000000000001 0.02)82.59% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)27.84% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (0.030999999999999 0.03)63.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 45.51%
    Cameroon 25.83%
    Draw 28.64%
SenegalDrawCameroon
1-0 @ 14.65%
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 11.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.69% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: Senegal vs Cameroon

Senegal
61.8%
Draw
23.5%
Cameroon
14.7%
34
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2017 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Senegal
0-0
Cameroon
Cameroon win 5-4 on penalties
Diouf (13'), Kouyate (93')
Oyongo (25'), Fai (59'), Djoum (82')
rhs 2.0
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