Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 15, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Yamoussoukro

Cameroon
1 - 1
Guinea

Magri (51')
Magri (21'), Moukoudi (62')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bayo (10')
Diakhaby (63')
Kamano (45+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cameroon and Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cameroon

All competitions

Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 9 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

Guinea

All competitions

Last Game: Guinea 2-0 Nigeria
Monday, January 8 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	0	0	0
2	Cameroon	0	0	0
3	Guinea	0	0	0
4	Gambia	0	0	0

This could easily end up being the best watch in the opening round of matches in their year's competition. Cameroon have a history of good performances in AFCON, while Guniea are one of the rising stars on the continent and have a red-hot striker in Guirassy at their disposal. There is very little to choose between these sides, and considering that the four best-finishing third-placed sides will also qualify, we feel these two will be fairly content to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cameroon	Draw	Guinea
59.71% ( -1.81)	24.8% ( 0.72)	15.49% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 38.98% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.53% (

-0.75)

60.46% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.41% (

-0.57)

80.59% (

0.56)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

-0.99)

20.26% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

-1.6)

52.61% (

1.59)

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.89% (

1.12)

51.11% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.58% (

0.74)

85.41% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Cameroon 59.7%

Guinea 15.49%

Draw 24.79%

Cameroon	Draw	Guinea
1-0 @ 16.53% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 59.7%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.38% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.48% Total : 15.49%