Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.
