Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.

Result
Varnamo	Draw	AIK Fotboll
33.12% ( 0.09)	27.14% ( 0.04)	39.75% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 50.08% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.75% (

-0.15)

55.25% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.53% (

-0.13)

76.47% (

0.13)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

-0.02)

31.23% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

-0.02)

67.57% (

0.02)

AIK Fotboll Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-0.14)

27.19% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-0.19)

62.6% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Varnamo 33.12%

AIK Fotboll 39.74%

Draw 27.13%

Varnamo	Draw	AIK Fotboll
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.12%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.74%