MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:29:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 6, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Defensa y Justicia

Arsenal
1 - 2
Defensa

Londono (21')
Londono (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandez (68', 69')
Cardona (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, July 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Tigre
Sunday, July 2 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Arsenal Sarandi 1-2 Defensa y Justicia

Although Arsenal Sarandi have picked up several wins on home soil in recent weeks, we expect Defensa y Justicia to get the better of the league's bottom club, although the hosts look set to push the visitors all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Defensa y Justicia.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawDefensa y Justicia
32.83% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 29.18% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 37.99% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.14% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.39% (0.147 0.15)62.61% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.82% (0.106 0.11)82.18% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.016999999999996 0.02)35.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)72.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.158 0.16)31.83% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (0.18 0.18)68.27% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 32.82%
    Defensa y Justicia 37.98%
    Draw 29.18%
Arsenal SarandiDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.18%
0-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.35% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.98%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Defensa

Arsenal Sarandi
4.3%
Draw
26.1%
Defensa y Justicia
69.6%
23
Head to Head
Aug 1, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Defensa
0-0
Arsenal
Navas (45+1'), Miloc (55')
Mar 21, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 7
Defensa
1-1
Arsenal
Frias (4' pen.)
Colombo (59')
Goni (72')
Aug 29, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Arsenal
0-0
Defensa
Hachen (27'), Soto (39'), Frias (89')
Apr 25, 2021 5.30pm
First Phase
Defensa
0-1
Arsenal
Unsain (8' og.)
Gariglio (6'), Jeremias Fernandez (80'), Picco (85'), Frias (90+4')
Aug 18, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Defensa
0-3
Arsenal

Piovi (26'), Rodriguez (60')
Parisi (10'), Alvarez Suarez (37'), Sonora (74')
Gimenez (32'), Rescaldani (32'), Pereyra (55'), Piovi (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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