Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol0 - 3Defensa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: La Luz 3-2 Penarol
Saturday, June 3 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, June 3 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Defensa
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, June 3 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
23
We said: Penarol 0-2 Defensa y Justicia
Considering the game means very little to Penarol, and Defensa y Justicia won the reverse fixture by a three-goal margin, we expect the visitors to emerge as comfortable victors on Tuesday evening. Defensa have looked very solid in recent weeks, losing just one of their last 11 games in all competitions, and they have displayed they have what it takes to book their place in the next round of the Copa Sudamericana. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
Result | ||
Penarol | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
42.36% ( -0.02) | 28.3% ( 0.01) | 29.34% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.41% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.5% ( -0.02) | 60.5% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.38% ( -0.02) | 80.62% ( 0.02) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% ( -0.02) | 28.24% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% ( -0.03) | 63.94% ( 0.03) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% ( -0) | 36.72% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% ( -0) | 73.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Penarol 42.36%
Defensa y Justicia 29.33%
Draw 28.28%
Penarol | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 42.36% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 29.33% |
How you voted: Penarol vs Defensa
Penarol
50.0%Draw
10.0%Defensa y Justicia
40.0%10
Head to Head
May 5, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Defensa
4-1
Penarol
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 23:35:33
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
France vs. Belgium - prediction, team news, lineups
2
Spain vs. Georgia - prediction, team news, lineups
3
Are England playing today?
4
Club-record deal confirmed: Chelsea announce £22m sale of 20-year-old
5
Chelsea 'consider' Alexander Isak swap deal amid £115m claim
6
Top European Championship goalscorers of all time
7
England vs. Slovakia - prediction, team news, lineups
8
One England 8 as Slovakia defenders shine in Euro 2024 last-16 affair
9
Spain 4-1 Georgia - highlights, man of the match, stats
10
Done deal: Forward leaves Real Madrid in surprise transfer
Sport News 24/7