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Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 24
Jul 12, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
2 - 0
Gimnasia

Estigarribia (29'), Enrique (37' og.)
Romero (49'), Coronel (51'), Pereyra (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lescano (54'), Castillo (61'), Ramirez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huracan 0-1 Tucuman
Friday, July 7 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-1 Independiente
Friday, July 7 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Gimnasia

Tucuman have a little more momentum coming into this encounter, but Gimnasia have always seemed to find a way to share the spoils of late, and we anticipate another close game between two evenly matched sides who have scored the same number of goals this season (20). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawGimnasia
51.99% (-0.242 -0.24) 27.17% (0.07 0.07) 20.84% (0.176 0.18)
Both teams to score 41.43% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.03% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)61.97% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.29% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)81.71% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.134 -0.13)24.14% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.56% (-0.19 -0.19)58.44% (0.193 0.19)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.61% (0.158 0.16)45.39% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.76% (0.125 0.13)81.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 51.98%
    Gimnasia 20.84%
    Draw 27.17%
Atletico TucumanDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 15.57% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.06% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 51.98%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 20.84%

How you voted: Tucuman vs Gimnasia

Atletico Tucuman
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
Gimnasia
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 7
Tucuman
2-0
Gimnasia
Lotti (1'), Ruiz (63')
Bianchi (29'), Di Franco (90+2')

Morales (58'), Miranda (76')
Apr 8, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
Tucuman
1-2
Gimnasia
Ortiz (40')
Lotti (10'), Gil Romero (34'), Ortiz (48'), Carrera (60'), Acosta (71')
Carrera (90+5')
Tarragona (16', 61')
Gerometta (45+1'), Melluso (82'), Rey (89'), Sosa (90+5')
Aug 8, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Gimnasia
1-0
Tucuman
Aleman (90+4')

Daniel Valor (57'), Lagos (90+3')
Daniel Valor (75')
Mar 20, 2021 5pm
First Phase
Gimnasia
2-0
Tucuman
Weigandt (10'), Carbonero (75')
Carbonero (76'), Weigandt (90+3')

Lagos (30'), Mussis (63'), Acosta (72'), Vergini (89')
Jan 11, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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