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Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 21
Jun 26, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Atletico Tucuman

Sarmiento
4 - 1
Tucuman

Quiroga (18', 83'), Melano (21'), Diaz (36')
Mendez (20'), Melano (41')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coronel (57')
Guille (13'), Tesuri (54'), Ojeda (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 2-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, June 10 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-1 Godoy Cruz
Wednesday, June 14 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Sarmiento 1-0 Atletico Tucuman

Given Sarmiento's solid run of results at home and the visitors showing some semblance of the form they produced last season, this looks set to be a tight match. Neither side have been prolific this season, and it would come as no surprise if the first goal turns out to be the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawAtletico Tucuman
40.24% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07) 29.12% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 30.64% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 43.73% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.17% (-0.055 -0.05)62.83% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)82.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)30.58% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.18% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)66.82% (0.079000000000008 0.08)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.004999999999999 0)73.78% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 40.23%
    Atletico Tucuman 30.64%
    Draw 29.11%
SarmientoDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 13.4%
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.11%
0-1 @ 11.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 30.64%

How you voted: Sarmiento vs Tucuman

Sarmiento
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Atletico Tucuman
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
Tucuman
1-0
Sarmiento
Maestro Puch (86')
Pereyra (61'), Acosta (69')

Guanini (5'), Paradela (56'), Arismendi (90')
Feb 10, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sarmiento
1-0
Tucuman
Lopez (66')
Arismendi (12'), Mancilla (87')

Ortiz (30'), Carrera (59'), Pereyra (77'), Thaller (89')
Aug 20, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Sarmiento
3-0
Tucuman
Montoya (46'), Cucchi (61'), Gondou (85')
Arismendi (60'), Chicco (90+3')

Osores (57'), Erbes (71'), Campos (87')
Apr 3, 2021 8.15pm
First Phase
Sarmiento
1-2
Tucuman
Herrera (13')
Torres (50'), Nahuel Vadala (72'), Herrera (87'), Garcia (89')
Toledo (63', 88')
Risso (28'), Vergini (53'), Toledo (70')
Acosta (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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