MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:45:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Independiente

Gimnasia
1 - 1
Independiente

Dominguez (90+5')
Napolitano (45'), Morales (47'), Bazzi (89')
Torres (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (54')
Ortiz (16'), Elizalde (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 2-2 Gimnasia
Tuesday, July 4 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Huracan
Sunday, July 2 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Gimnasia 1-0 Independiente

Given that Independiente have lost five of their last six away league games while failing to win any of their previous 10, we expect Gimnasia to inflict a fourth successive away defeat on the Red Devils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 43.06%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.2%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawIndependiente
43.06% (-0.296 -0.3) 30.74% (0.131 0.13) 26.2% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 37.86% (-0.196 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.03% (-0.287 -0.29)68.97% (0.28700000000001 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.43% (-0.187 -0.19)86.57% (0.18599999999999 0.19)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.324 -0.32)32.11% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.37 -0.37)68.59% (0.369 0.37)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.77% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)44.23% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)80.31% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 43.05%
    Independiente 26.19%
    Draw 30.74%
GimnasiaDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 16.13% (0.029999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.16% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 43.05%
0-0 @ 14.2% (0.15 0.15)
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 30.74%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.19%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Independiente

Gimnasia
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Independiente
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 17
Gimnasia
3-1
Independiente
Dominguez (34'), Morales (52'), Contin (56')
Contin (57')
Fernandez (12')
Fernandez (71'), Barreto (90+4')
Oct 11, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
Gimnasia
Romero (45+3')
Blanco (37'), Barreto (69'), Laso (90+4'), Costa (90+4')
Carbonero (45')
Cecchini (48'), Melluso (71'), Coronel (89')
Feb 27, 2021 10.20pm
First Phase
Independiente
1-0
Gimnasia

Weigandt (89'), (90+2')
(90')
Feb 22, 2020 10.40pm
Gameweek 21
Independiente
0-1
Gimnasia

Bustos (17'), Barreto (18'), Sanchez Mino (80'), Martinez (90')
Ramirez (90')
Mancilla (40'), Cocimano (88')
Mar 4, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 21
Gimnasia
1-0
Independiente
Faravelli (52')
Comba (42')

Bustos (29'), Sanchez (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9Platense238961816233
10Instituto239592925432
11Deportivo Riestra238872424032
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
13IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
14BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
22Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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