Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de La Plata
Estudiantes2 - 1Defensa
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Estudiantes and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Estudiantes
Saturday, October 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Saturday, October 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-2 Racing
Wednesday, November 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, November 1 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
47
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 50.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Estudiantes | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
50.59% ( -0.13) | 26.58% ( 0.02) | 22.83% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 45.14% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.65% ( 0.05) | 58.35% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% ( 0.04) | 78.96% ( -0.04) |
Estudiantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.81% ( -0.03) | 23.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.92% ( -0.05) | 57.08% ( 0.05) |
Defensa y Justicia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.77% ( 0.15) | 41.23% ( -0.14) |