Defensa

2 - 1

Estudiantes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.