Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Aug 6, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Union2 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Castrillon (77'), Marabel (88')
Carlos Portillo (7'), Esquivel (54'), Ignacio Nardoni (86'), Roldan (90+2')
Carlos Portillo (7'), Esquivel (54'), Ignacio Nardoni (86'), Roldan (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union 2-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, July 26 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, July 26 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 3-2 Talleres
Thursday, August 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, August 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
39.64% ( 0.02) | 28.66% ( -0.02) | 31.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.29% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
