MX23RW : Sunday, April 27 18:02:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena

Salzburg
1 - 2
Sturm Graz

Daghim (32')
Kounfolo Yeo (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kiteishvili (48' pen., 70')
Aiwu (54'), Junior Yalcouye (71')
Wuthrich (63')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 2-1 BW Linz
Sunday, April 6 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-0 Rapid Vienna
Friday, April 4 at 6.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 54.22%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawSturm Graz
54.22% (-0.225 -0.23) 21.95% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 23.82% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.68% (0.192 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.6% (0.138 0.14)38.4% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.31% (0.148 0.15)60.69% (-0.147 -0.15)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)14.2% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.08% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)41.91% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.244 0.24)29.28% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (0.3 0.3)65.24% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 54.22%
    Sturm Graz 23.82%
    Draw 21.95%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawSturm Graz
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 54.22%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 23.82%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2025 4pm
Gameweek 20
Salzburg
3-1
Sturm Graz
Vertessen (72'), Dorgeles (84'), Onisiwo (87')
Gorenc Stankovic (10')
Lavalee (39'), Aiwu (45'), Kiteishvili (53')
Oct 6, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 9
Sturm Graz
5-0
Salzburg
Junior Yalcouye (15'), Biereth (30', 51', 62'), Aiwu (76')
Aiwu (41')

Piatkowski (66'), Bajcetic (90')
Apr 28, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 7
Salzburg
2-2
Sturm Graz
Dorgeles (72'), Konate (82')
Solet (82')
Prass (1', 34')
Kiteishvili (60')
Mar 31, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 2
Sturm Graz
0-1
Salzburg

Gazibegovic (45'), Wuthrich (78')
Gorenc Stankovic (90+6'), Lavalee (90+10')
Bidstrup (48')
Gluh (31'), Ratkov (89'), Gourna-Douath (90+6'), Schlager (90+6'), Konate (90+12')
Gourna-Douath (90+6')
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Salzburg
1-1
Sturm Graz
Ratkov (15')
Diambou (33'), Fernando (47')
Kiteishvili (80')
Schnegg (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Austria ViennaAustria Vienna28175642251733
2Sturm Graz28175659332633
3Wolfsberger28146855352030
4Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg28139643291429
5Rapid Vienna28108103635121
6BW Linz28114133438-420
Relegation Round
1LASK LinzLASK28154948341433
2Hartberg28810103438-421
3WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski2868142742-1516
4Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach2858152742-1515
5Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt2867153164-3314
6Grazer AKGrazer28410142950-2114
 
Regular Season
1Sturm Graz22144451282346
2Austria ViennaAustria Vienna22144436191746
3Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg22108433221138
4Wolfsberger22113844301436
5Rapid Vienna229763224834
6BW Linz2210393029133
7LASK LinzLASK229493233-131
8Hartberg226882431-726
9Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt2256112244-2221
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski2247112031-1119
11Grazer AKGrazer2237122745-1816
12Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach2237122035-1516


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