We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Empoli
Even though Empoli rested key players with this game in mind - and Fiorentina may have one eye on next week's Conference League semi-final - the Viola should have too much guile for their regional rivals. With an average goals-per-game rate almost twice that of the ailing Azzurri, the home side are surely set to prevail. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Empoli |
63.61% ( 0.43) | 21.08% ( -0.31) | 15.31% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.66% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.86% ( 1.08) | 47.14% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( 1) | 69.38% ( -1) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.85% ( 0.49) | 14.15% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.18% ( 0.94) | 41.82% ( -0.93) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.68% ( 0.5) | 43.32% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.44% ( 0.42) | 79.56% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Fiorentina 63.6%
Empoli 15.31%
Draw 21.08%
| Fiorentina | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 63.6% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.08% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.53% Total : 15.31% |
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Empoli
Fiorentina
80.4%Draw
13.7%Empoli
5.9%51
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2024 8pm
Sep 29, 2024 5pm
Oct 23, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
