Napoli2 - 0Torino
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Wednesday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A
We said: Napoli 1-0 Torino
Drilled by master tactician Antonio Conte, Napoli have conceded the fewest goals of any team throughout Europe's top five leagues (25), and they are well set to keep low-scoring Torino at arm's length. While the Granata have clearly recovered from a mid-season slump, they will not match their hungry hosts' intensity at an expectant Stadio Maradona. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Torino |
64.54% ( 0.11) | 20.57% ( -0.05) | 14.89% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( 0.12) | 45.73% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( 0.11) | 68.05% ( -0.11) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( 0.07) | 13.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.62% ( 0.13) | 40.38% ( -0.13) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.97% ( -0) | 43.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.68% ( -0) | 79.32% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Torino |
| 2-0 @ 11.64% 1-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 64.53% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.52% Total : 14.89% |
