Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia0 - 2AC Milan
We said: Venezia 1-2 AC Milan
There is no doubt Venezia's motivation will be higher - and they have become much tougher to beat in recent weeks - but Milan seem to have finally found some form. A change of formation has freed up key men such as Rafael Leao and Theo Hernandez - neither being too fond of defending - and the Rossoneri should still be buoyed by reaching the cup final. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | AC Milan |
17.52% ( 0) | 22.95% | 59.53% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49% | 51% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% | 72.87% ( 0) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.23% ( 0) | 42.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.9% | 79.1% ( 0) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( 0) | 16.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.25% | 46.75% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
Venezia 17.52%
AC Milan 59.52%
Draw 22.95%
| Venezia | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.62% 2-0 @ 2.59% 3-1 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.52% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 12.81% 0-2 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-3 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 5.78% 0-4 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-5 @ 1.08% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.83% Total : 59.52% |
How you voted: Venezia vs AC Milan
Venezia
14.9%Draw
17.0%AC Milan
68.1%47
