Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 19

Aug 26, 2022 at 4pm UK

City Stadium

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
1 - 2
Torpedo-BelAZ

Senko (83')
Rassadkin (84'), Senko (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gorbachik (36'), Berezkin (77')
Myakish (70'), Antilevskiy (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Arsenal Dzerzhinsk and Torpedo-BelAZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Torpedo-BelAZ
21.42% ( -0.08)	26.47% ( -0)	52.11% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 43.83% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.79% (

-0.07)

59.21% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.37% (

-0.06)

79.63% (

0.05)

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.84% (

-0.13)

43.16% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.58% (

-0.11)

79.42% (

0.1)

Torpedo-BelAZ Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.11% (

22.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.37% (

0.01)

56.63% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 21.42%

Torpedo-BelAZ 52.09%

Draw 26.46%

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	Draw	Torpedo-BelAZ
1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.42%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 14.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.09%