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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
2 - 0
Northampton

Kemp (89'), Reid (90+1')
Piergianni (2'), Revell (3'), White (45'), Thompson (52')
Revell (0')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Eaves (2'), Odimayo (18'), McGeehan (51')
Eaves (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 0-1 Northampton Town

Both clubs have struggled for form this season, though Stevenage have a commendable defensive record and Northampton are facing a major injury crisis. However, Jon Brady's team have managed to score 19 goals this term despite their circumstances, eight more than Revell's side, and this greater attacking threat could see them come out narrow winners on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
52.98% (-0.376 -0.38) 25.65% (0.398 0.4) 21.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.95% (-1.121 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6% (-1.462 -1.46)56.4% (1.456 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-1.194 -1.19)77.41% (1.188 1.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.747 -0.75)21.34% (0.741 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-1.163 -1.16)54.3% (1.158 1.16)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.41% (-0.865 -0.87)41.59% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.92% (-0.767 -0.77)78.07% (0.761 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 52.97%
    Northampton Town 21.37%
    Draw 25.64%
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 10.58% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 52.97%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.87% (0.485 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 21.37%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Northampton Town
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Stevenage
3-0
Northampton
Reid (2'), Roberts (42'), List (67')

Sowerby (52')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Northampton
0-1
Stevenage

Odimayo (17'), Hoskins (69')
Piergianni (80')
Piergianni (4'), Evans (5'), Butler (88'), Burns (90+13')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Stevenage
2-3
Northampton
Rose (35'), Gilbey (85')
Appere (1' pen.), Bowie (82'), McWilliams (87')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Lines (82')
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham28206250193166
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport31159747301754
5Charlton AthleticCharlton30148840291150
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
7Leyton Orient291451043251847
8Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
9Reading30137104442246
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Blackpool3091384241140
12Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
13Stevenage29117112830-240
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham30108123435-138
15Mansfield TownMansfield29114143538-337
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2995152945-1632
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3086164657-1130
21Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3076173150-1927
22Crawley TownCrawley2976163353-2027
23Burton Albion30511143145-1426
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3058173055-2523


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