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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Newport County |
69.13% (![]() | 19.18% (![]() | 11.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.09% (![]() | 46.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.84% (![]() | 69.16% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.55% (![]() | 12.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.61% (![]() | 38.39% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.23% (![]() | 48.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.21% (![]() | 83.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Newport County |
2-0 @ 13.17% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.65% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 69.12% | 1-1 @ 9.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 19.18% | 0-1 @ 4.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 63 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 55 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 54 |
4 | Notts County | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 53 |
5 | Port Vale | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 52 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 52 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 49 |
8 | Salford City | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 48 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Chesterfield | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 42 |
11 | Bromley | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
12 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 41 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 41 |
14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 40 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 40 |
16 | MK Dons | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 39 |
17 | Swindon TownSwindon | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 38 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 37 |
19 | Gillingham | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 34 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 33 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 28 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 22 |
> League Two Full Table |