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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Cambridge United |
61.11% ( -0.83) | 21.04% ( 0.57) | 17.85% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 54.31% ( -1.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.61% ( -2.2) | 42.38% ( 2.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.21% ( -2.23) | 64.79% ( 2.23) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.61% ( -0.93) | 13.39% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.68% ( -1.9) | 40.31% ( 1.9) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.71% ( -1.03) | 37.29% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.92% ( -1.03) | 74.07% ( 1.03) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.17% Total : 61.1% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.04% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |